Portland Trailblazers vs. Thunder preview (Game 34 of 82)

  • Portland Trailblazers (14-19, 10th in the West) @ Oklahoma City Thunder (28-5, 1st in the West)
  • When: Wednesday, 31 December 2025 @ 7:00pm CST
  • Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
  • TV: FDSN-OK
  • Offensive Rating: POR: 113.2 (21st) / OKC: 118.8 (5th)
  • Defensive Rating: POR: 116.3 (20th) / OKC: 105.0 (1st)
  • Net Rating: POR: -3.1 (21st) / OKC: 13.8 (1st)
  • Current Streaks: POR: Won 2 in a row, 5-5 in their last 10 / OKC: Won 2 in a row, 6-4 in their last 10

The Set-Up

December 31st. A time to look back at the year that was and a time to look forward towards the year that will be. As the Oklahoma City Thunder look back, they can smile at the accomplishments and look towards a future that is as bright as any team in recent memory. A 68-win season with an MVP, a Finals MVP, two All-NBA players, two players on the All-Defense Teams, the Executive of the Year, and a championship, to boot. And looking forward, essentially the same team on the floor this season and heading into the next year and the possibility of juicy draft picks. Thank you, 2025. Helllloooo, 2026! Thunder Up!

This is the fourth and final meeting of the regular season between these two Northwest Division rivals. The Trailblazers beat the Thunder in their first meeting, famously giving the Thunder their first loss of the season. The Thunder returned the favor two-fold in late November, avenging their only loss of the season up to that point.

Betting Info, presented by FanDuel

  • Line: OKC -15.5
  • O/U: 234.5

Injury Report

OKC

  • Brooks Barnhizer – DTD (ankle)
  • Ousmane Dieng – OUT (calf)
  • Isaiah Hartenstein – OUT (calf)
  • Thomas Sorber – OFS (knee/ACL)
  • Nikola Topic – OUT (cancer treatment)
  • Jaylin Williams – OUT (heel)

POR

  • Jerami Grant – OUT (Achilles)
  • Scoot Henderson – OUT (hamstring)
  • Jrue Holiday – OUT (calf)
  • Damian Lillard – OFS (Achilles)
  • Kris Murray – Questionable (quad)
  • Matisse Thybulle – OUT (thumb)
  • Blake Wesley – OUT (foot)

Three Big Things

  1. Playing into the Thunder’s hands – The Trailblazers are bad at the things the Thunder feast off of. The Blazers play fast (5th in pace), but are reckless, leading the league in turnovers per game (17.2 per game) and turnover percentage (16.7% of possessions ending in a turnover). In addition, they are the 2nd worst team in terms of 3-point percentage, shooting 33.5% from deep as a team. This plays into the Thunder’s defensive ethos of protecting the paint and allowing, but contesting, 3-pointers.
  2. Securing the defensive glass – While the Thunder lead the league in defensive rebounding, this seems to be the stat that always gets them in trouble in key parts of the game. Portland is 3rd in offensive rebounds per game, at 14.2, and 3rd in offensive rebound percentage. In addition, they are 2nd in 2nd Chance points at 17.8 points per game. Donovan Clingan is 2nd in the league with 4.5 offensive rebounds per game. Robert Williams III pitches in with 2.2 offensive rebounds per game of his own and Toumani Camara grabs just under 2 offensive boards per game from the wing.
  3. The Deni Avdija FT problem – Deni Avdija has caught the NBA by surprise this season. He leads the Blazers in scoring at 25.5 points per game and is 2nd in the league in free throw attempts per game (ahead of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, I might add) at 9.7 FTA per game. In two of the games these two teams played, Avdija shot 16 and 23 free throws. That allowed Portland to win one of the games and remain competitive in the other. In the one game where OKC blew Portland out, Avdija shot only 3 free throws.

 

Thunder @ Portland Trailblazers preview (Game 5 of 82)

Oklahoma City Thunder demolish the Portland Trail Blazers by 62 points in  record-breaking win | CNN

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) at Portland Trailblazers (2-3)
  • When: Friday, 01 November 2024 at 9:00pm CST
  • Where: Moda Center, Portland, OR
  • Offensive Rating – POR: 107.2 (25th) / OKC: 108.5 (23rd)
  • Defensive Rating – POR: 113.0 (15th) / OKC: 91.3 (1st)
  • Net Rating – POR: -5.8 (23rd) / OKC: 17.1 (3rd)
  • TV: FanDuel Sports Network – Oklahoma

The Set-Up

Trap games. These are the games where a dominant team can get tripped up. We saw it last season. The Thunder head into Detroit for a matinee game on Super Bowl Sunday and get absolutely demolished by the Pistons. Maybe looking ahead. Maybe not respecting the opponent, but it happened. As the Thunder start the season at a blistering pace, especially defensively, these are the types of games where they could get tripped up if they don’t bring it. For great teams, these games can become “meh” games. But for the opponent, this game may be their early season Super Bowl.

This is the first of four meetings this season between these two division rivals. The Thunder swept the season series last year, winning the first two games collectively by 105 points, while then winning the final two meetings by 10 points combined. One game in the 2nd half of the season even necessitated a Jalen Williams game-winner.Β 

Betting Info

  • Line: OKC -11.5
  • O/U: 221.5

Injury Report

OKC

  • Isaiah Hartenstein – OUT (hand)
  • Nikola Topic – OUT (knee)
  • Jaylin Williams – OUT (hamstring)
  • Kenrich Williams – OUT (knee)

POR

  • Shaedon Sharpe – OUT (shoulder)
  • Matisse Thybulle – OUT (knee)
  • Robert Williams III – OUT (hamstring)

Three Big Things

  1. Give and Take – So far this season, the Thunder have absolutely punished teams who turn the ball over. They lead the league in steals and blocks as a team, force the most turnovers in the league, and score 19.4% of their points off of turnovers. Portland, on the other hand, is the 5th worst team at protecting the ball, coughing it up 17 times a game.
  2. Defensive Rebounding – While the Thunder have improved immensely in the rebounding department, the reality is that Chet Holmgren is the only true big that can play currently. Portland trots out a pretty physical big man duo in DeAndre Ayton and rookie Donovan Clingan, while having Jerami Grant at the 4. Portland grabs 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th in the league) and score 19 points per game in 2nd-chance points (4th in the league). If there is any facet of the game where Portland may sneak up on the Thunder, it’s in this department.
  3. SGA inefficiency from deep – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has struggled a bit from deep this season. He is currently shooting 27.3% on 8.3 3-point attempts per game. But what about the rest of his game? He’s still shooting 51.8% on 2-point shots and 90.5% from the line. He’s increased his assist numbers, while keeping his turnovers low. He is one of the leaders in stocks on the defensive end. The 3-point shot thing may just be an extension of the preseason. Just trying things out. In fact, Dylan Huntzinger (@Thunderchets on Twitter) lays it all out in a recent article.