Let It Rip: Why you’re probably overreacting about Shai’s 3 ball

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander wins Feb. 6 to Feb. 12 Western Conference Player of  the Week - Yahoo Sports

We have been blessed as a fanbase to see a superstar blossom right in front of our eyes in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The centerpiece of the Paul George trade, we have watched him go from bench guy, 3rd option, to running the show. And run it, he has.

Over the last four seasons, Shai has led the league in drives per game in three of those four seasons. Shai has boasted the efficiency of a wing player, shooting over 50% from the field and averaging about six free throw attempts per game.

Because of this, the fanbase, and the NBA at large, have associated Shai’s game to three things: driving to the basket, shooting the mid range jumper, and getting to the free throw line. 

And he’s been pretty good at it. Averaging over 30 points per game in each of the past two seasons, Shai is widely considered one of the top 5 player in the world and is on the shortlist for MVP for everyone who has a pulse.

So, going into his 7th season, fresh off back to back All-Star appearances, being named a starter in the All-Star game, and being a back to back 1st Team All-NBA recipient, many people think Shai should just stick with what got him there, and leave well enough alone.

But that’s not Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

He summed this up in 2021, with a banger of a quote.

“I’m not playing this game just to be a good basketball player. I want to be one of the greatest to ever play.”

He is always adding to his game. Whether it was the stepback, catch and shoot 3, off ball defense, playmaking, etc., Shai has gone into the lab every offseason, and every offseason he comes out acting different.

I imagine him stepping into a lab (for some reason this one I’m picturing in my head has automatic sliding doors) normal Shai, but after some time,  when he emerges from the sliding doors, smoke billows out of the room with a green haze in the background, and somewhere, somehow, an organ is playing and angels are singing. Anyways, back to the point.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a legit MVP candidate - BALLERS.PH

Is it awesome that he is a top 5 player in the world right now? Absolutely. Would it be easy to just continue what he’s doing now? Absolutely. Could he have similar success doing exactly what he has done the past couple of seasons? Absolutely. (Topic: Thunder listeners have drank themselves into a coma with all the absolutely) BUT, Shai doesn’t want what he already has, Shai isn’t ok with the status quo, Shai doesn’t want to just go through the motions and be remembered as just another good player.

He’s on some Ash Ketchum energy. This dude wants to be the very best, like NO ONE ever was.

So yes, he will continue to add to his game, and we have the fruits of those seeds he planted the offseason (IN THE LAB).

He looks engaged and disruptive when he is playing on ball defense.

His playmaking reads are sharper than ever, and he’s making passes we have never seen him make. Live dribble skip passes from one end of the court to the other, one hand dump offs to a cutter, hitting the roller in stride, hitting the shooters in their pockets; consistently.

But one addition to his game that has been met with uproar and outrage by a large (and troubling) portion of the Thunder fan community, is his increased 3 point shooting volume.

First off, it fits Sam Presti’s ethos to a T. Exploration, and experimentation are the reason you see the roster you see today for the Thunder. Presti has tried things, failed at things, and succeeded at things. All in all, he collected data, learned from his mistakes, enforced his correct decisions, and now we have a juggernaut in Oklahoma City.

It’s not different with Shai. Yes, that dude is and has been unguardable, but if he learns how to shoot high volume, off dribble, pull up 3-pointers, he will become unstoppable.

It adds a new weapon to your offense that opponents have to account for. They can’t build a wall in the paint and dare Shai to shoot middy’s over it. Shai can force them to play him close, and then it’s curtains. Play him to close, he’s blowing by you. Sag off on him just enough, and he’s comfortable and confident to pull that 3 in your eye; without having to first simulate the drive and get to his stepback.

That’s the why he should do this, (which I feel should be fairly obvious?), let’s get into the why now.

It’s simple. We are 4 games into the regular season.

Continue reading

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Thunder preview (Game 81 of 82)

  • Milwaukee Bucks (49-31, 2nd in the East) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (55-25, 3rd in the West)
  • When: Friday, 12 April 2024 at 7:00pm CST
  • Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
  • Offensive Rating – MIL: 118.0 (5th) / OKC: 118.1 (4th)
  • Defensive Rating – MIL: 114.9 (18th) / OKC: 111.5 (4th)
  • Net Rating – MIL: 3.2 (8th) / OKC: 6.6 (2nd)

The Set-Up

The Play-In tournament is working. Even though the post-season participants have been known for a while now, the positioning of the majority of those teams is still in the air. And that makes games in April matter. Whether it’s trying to avoid the 9/10 game or trying to avoid the play-in games altogether, most teams are still playing with fervor with 1-2 games left to play. That was basically unheard of in years past. April games were very similar to summer league games, where NBA hopefuls and team developmental players would get their opportunity to shine. Now we are still seeing guys like LeBron and Steph battle it out trying to move up out of the 9/10 game. It makes for a fun 82-game season, instead of the usual 75-game season plus 7-game G-League showcase at the end of the season.

This is the 2nd and final meeting of the season between these two teams. The Thunder were soundly defeated by the Bucks in late March by a score of 118-93. A game in which the Thunder likely played their worst third quarter of the season, getting outscored 34-17 and shooting just 24% from the field for those 12 minutes.

Betting Info

  • Line: OKC -14.5
  • O/U: 223.5

Injury Report

OKC

  • Josh Giddey (hip) – Questionable

MIL

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) – OUT
  • AJ Green (ankle) – OUT
  • Damian Lillard (adductor) – OUT

Three Big Things

  1. Playoff Seeding – Milwaukee and OKC find themselves in similar situations when it comes to playoff seeding. OKC still has the opportunity to get the No. 1 seed in the West, but would need a divine miracle for the Nuggets to lose to both the Spurs and Grizzlies in their last two games of the season. The battle for No. 2 and 3 likely hinges on how serious the Thunder and Timberwolves take these last two games. Both teams are tied as far as record is concerned, but Minnesota holds the tie-breaker due to their better conference record. Minnesota plays Atlanta, who is already locked into the 10th seed in the East, and Phoenix, who could still be battling for the 6th seed in the West. OKC plays Milwaukee, who is still battling for the No. 2 or No. 3 seed in the East, and Dallas, who is basically locked into the 5th seed in the West. OKC would need to win out and hope Minnesota loses one of their last two games in order to secure the 2nd seed.
  2. SGA – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played with so much vigor since he returned from a 4-game absence due to a quad injury. In the two games he’s played (on a back to back, at that), SGA has averaged 33 points, 7 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 2 stocks on 54/50/84 shooting splits. That burst with zero hesitation on the drives is back. And so is the swag of the team. When Sacramento had the Thunder down by 20 in the first half on Tuesday, you just had the feeling that SGA would will the Thunder back. When he is on, the Thunder have a different feel about them.
  3. Bobby “Michael Jordan” Portis – For the season, Bobby Portis is averaging 13.9 points and 7.4 rebounds. But for some reason, in the seven games Giannis Antetokounmpo has missed, Bobby Portis turns into Robert Portis with a grown man game. In those seven games, Portis averages 23.7 points and 10.4 rebounds. Here’s hoping he has a Bobby Portis game and not a Robert Portis game.

Thunder @ Washington Wizards preview (Game 35 of 82)

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (23-11, 3rd in the West) @ Washington Wizards (6-29, 14th in the East)
  • When: Monday, 08 January 2024 at 6:00pm CST
  • Where: Capital One Arena, Washington D.C.
  • Offensive Rating – WAS: 111.3 (25th) / OKC:119.3 (4th)
  • Defensive Rating – WAS: 121.6 (30th) / OKC: 111.7 (7th)
  • Net Rating – WAS: -10.3 (27th) / OKC: 7.6 (3rd)

The Set-Up

Wait…so this team isn’t perfect? You mean to tell me that the Oklahoma City Thunder are likely not going to win every game this season from here on out? I totally feel like I’ve been sold a bill of goods. I mean, this team was supposed to buck all the trends in the world and become the greatest team since the 73-9 Golden State Warriors…while winning the title. Like, if this team isn’t going to do that, then we might as well start tanking again, right?

Let’s take a breath, Thunder nation. *cue Martin Lawrence’s “Woo-sah” from Bad Boys 2.* Yes, the Thunder have suffered some losses to some inferior opponents. The Atlanta loss was what they call in the NBA “a scheduled loss”. Second night of a back to back while the first game was an epic win at home. Flight delay that caused the team to arrive in Atlanta around four in the morning. No energy. No legs. Scheduled loss. But the Nets game was the anomaly. Here’s the thing: those things happen in the NBA. Bad night shooting. The other team gets off to a hot start and goes up big early. Your weaknesses (rebounding) come to the forefront for that evening. It happens. You “Men In Black” that out of your memory and move on to the next one.

This is the first of two meetings this season between these two teams. They meet again on February 23rd.

Betting Info

  • Line: OKC -10.5
  • O/U: 247.5

Injury Report

OKC

  • None

WAS

  • Landry Shamet (hamstring) – Day to Day
  • Delon Wright (quad) – Day to Day

Three Big Things

  1. Attack the paint – The Washington Wizards rank 29th in the league in points allowed in the paint. The Thunder are 7th in the NBA in scoring points in the paint. Outside of Daniel Gafford, the Wiz don’t have a ton of interior protection. This game is tailor-made for the Thunder to go off offensively.
  2. Rebounding, Advantage: Thunder – This is literally the only team in the league that is worse at rebounding than the Thunder. As a matter of pride, we better win this rebounding battle.
  3. Fool’s Gold – I hope the Thunder don’t get goaded into thinking this will be a cake-walk. Yes, the Wizards are one of the worst teams in the league. And, yes, they are very inefficient. But that doesn’t mean they don’t have weapons. Kyle Kuzma and Jordan Poole have each had 50-pieces in their careers. Corey Kispert and Tyus Jones are adept at their positions and good shooters. We all know what former Thunder players Mike Muscala and Danilo Gallinari are good at. We all know how awesome of a teammate Eugene Omoruyi is. What you saw in Brooklyn could repeat itself in DC if the Thunder don’t stick to their defensive principles and start off disciplined.

Thunder @ Brooklyn Nets preview (Game 34 of 82)

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (23-10, 2nd in the West) @ Brooklyn Nets (15-20, 9th in the East)
  • When: Friday, 05 January 2024 at 6:30pm CST
  • Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
  • Offensive Rating – BKN: 115.3 (15th) / OKC: 119.5 (5th)
  • Defensive Rating – BKN: 117.1 (23rd) / OKC: 111.3 (6th)
  • Net Rating – BKN: -1.8 (22nd) / OKC: 8.1 (3rd)

The Set-Up

It’s a bit crazy to play against a team and covet so many of their players. Teams like Brooklyn and Utah are loaded with veterans that would instantly make the Thunder an even better team. Both teams are in some sort of weird transition (either between rebuilding or putting together a playoff team) and have coveted vets from the aftermaths of major trades they made in the past. I can name five players on Brooklyn and three players on Utah who would look good in Thunder blue. And many of those players would not cost a ton for the Thunder to acquire. As the Thunder play Brooklyn tonight, just pay attention to some of the players on the Nets, as they made end up in OKC in due time.

This is the 2nd and final meeting of the season between these two teams. The Thunder beat the Nets 124-106 on New Year’s Eve in Oklahoma City.

Betting Info

  • Line: OKC -5.5
  • O/U: 234.5

Injury Report

OKC

  • None

BKN

  • Ben Simmons (back) – OUT
  • Dennis Smith Jr. (back) – Probable
  • Lonnie Walker IV (hamstring) – Probable

Three Big Things

  1. Another Desperate Team – The Atlanta Hawks had come into Wednesday’s game having lost four of their last five and looking at a season that was quickly spiraling into disappointment. The Brooklyn Nets are in that same boat. Having lost 10 of their last 12, and currently riding a 5-game losing streak, the Nets are looking to get back on the right track. These two teams played each other less than a week ago and the Nets had a great first quarter in that game, before they seemingly forgot how to shoot and ended up losing by 16.
  2. Cam Thomas – The definition of a microwave scorer. Just this season alone, in 26 games, Thomas has had two 40-point games, four 30-point games, and nine 20-point games. He looked like he was well on his way to another 40-point night on New Year’s Eve in OKC, starting that game shooting 4-4 for 10 points in 6 minutes of game action in the first quarter. He shot 3-14 the rest of the game and missed 4 free throws along the way. He still finished with 20, but could’ve had so much more.
  3. Controlled Defensive Aggressiveness – The Nets do a great job of protecting the ball. They are the 4th best at protecting the ball, averaging just 12.6 turnovers a game. Against the Thunder last Sunday, the Nets only had seven turnovers. It was an over-aggressive defense in the first quarter of that game that allowed the Nets to get so many open looks. Oklahoma City corrected as the game went on, but it was a lesson to be learned.

Thunder @ Atlanta Hawks preview (Game 33 of 82)

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (23-9, 2nd in the West) @ Atlanta Hawks (13-19, 11th in the East)
  • When: Wednesday, 03 January 2024 at 6:30 pm CST
  • Where: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
  • Offensive Rating – ATL: 119.1 (6th) / OKC: 119.2 (5th)
  • Defensive Rating – ATL: 119.7 (27th) / OKC: 110.7 (3rd)
  • Net Rating – ATL: -0.6 (19th) / OKC: 8.5 (3rd)

The Set-Up

There was a time several years ago, where, if you asked the question “Who would you rather have? Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or Trae Young” and you didn’t answer “Trae Young”, you’d be viewed as some sort of pariah. Fast forward to today, you would be seen as a madman if you picked Trae Young as your answer. The evolution of SGA as a player over the last couple of years has been a marvel to watch. This was not the player that people thought SGA would become when he was drafted. He didn’t have a National Player of the Year season at Kentucky like Young did. He didn’t have the hype that Young did. The draft position that Young did. But he has worked on his craft and has used the physical skills allotted to him to become the player you now see. A consistent and efficient 30-point scorer that affects the game on both ends of the court. Not only has SGA surpassed Trae Young, but he may have lapped him a couple of times in the process.

This is the second meeting of the year between these two teams. The Thunder won the first meeting in early November, 126-117.

Betting Info

  • Line: OKC -1.5
  • O/U: 248.5

Injury Report

OKC

  • None

ATL

  • Mouhamed Gueye (back) – OUT
  • De’Andre Hunter (knee) – OUT
  • Seth Lundy (ankle) – Questionable

Three Big Things

  1. Trap Game Potential – Over the past week, the Thunder have beat the Western Conference’s 1st place and 3rd place teams and the Eastern Conference’s 1st place team. Now they are playing the 11th ranked team in the East. A team they’ve already beat earlier this season. And I am honestly more worried about this game than any of those other games. The Hawks are a desperate bunch. They do not see themselves as a 13-19 team. And they can score in droves. A bad shooting night by the Thunder or a poor defensive game and they could get caught by surprise.
  2. Track Meet – These are two of the highest scoring offenses in the league right now. They rank 3rd and 4th in points scored per game and are only separated by 0.7 points. A lot like Boston, the Hawks also like to hoist up a lot of 3’s (38.7 attempts per game, 6th in the league) and are the 2nd best offensive rebounding team in the league. The Thunder, meanwhile are the best 3-point shooting team in the league and are 3rd in effective field goal percentage and true shooting percentage. The could definitely be a barn burner tonight.
  3. Attack the paint – The Hawks aren’t great defensively, but they definitely struggle in protecting the paint. The Hawks rank 24th in blocks per game and 27th in points allowed in the paint. That is one of the areas where the Thunder excels.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Thunder preview (Game 7 of 82)

  • Atlanta Hawks (4-2) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (3-3)
  • When: Monday, 06 November 2023 at 7:00pm CST
  • Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
  • Offensive Rating – ATL: 119.3 (3rd) / OKC: 113.2 (10th)
  • Defensive Rating – ATL: 111.8 (19th) / OKC: 114.4 (21st)
  • Net Rating – ATL: 7.4 (6th) / OKC: -1.2 (15th)

The Set-Up

Perspective. We could be 5-1. The Pelicans and Warriors games both came down to the final possession. A change of a call here, a different outcome of a play there, and the Thunder come out victorious. We could also be 2-4. Those final possession games plus the game in Cleveland could have all finished in different ways for the Thunder. But alas, we currently sit at 3-3 and, honestly, it feels about right.

Offensively, the Thunder seems to be right where it needs to be at 10th. They love the transition game and have an improving half-court game. But defensively, is where I thought the Thunder would make their mark. When healthy last season, they were a top-10 defensive team, if not higher. With the addition of Chet Holmgren and Cason Wallace, it was thought that this would catapult the team into at least a consistent top-10 outfit. But they currently stand at 21st. If the Thunder are going to improve their record, it’s got to start on the defensive end of the floor.

Injury Report

OKC

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (knee) – Questionable
  • Kenrich Williams (back)

ATL

  • Kobe Bufkin (thumb)
  • Wesley Matthews (calf)

Three Big Things

  1. Trae Young – Oklahoma doesn’t lay claim to many basketball greats, but since the Thunder have been in town, Trae Young and Blake Griffin have been the top basketball players associated with Oklahoma that don’t wear Thunder jerseys. While Griffin’s time in basketball appears to be nearing an end, Trae’s prime is likely just beginning. Currently averaging 21.7 points and 10.3 assists, Young is the head of what has been an offensive juggernaut here to begin the season. The Hawks boast nine players averaging double figures and are second in the league in points per game at 122.8. Many fans will cheer for Young at the beginning of the game, but may change their tune as the game continues.
  2. Very Similar – In doing my research for this game, I noticed that the Thunder and Hawks were very similar, in terms of stats. They are 1st and 2nd in the league in percentage of field goals from the mid-range. They are 4th and 5th in pace, true shooting percentage, and field goal percentage. They are 1st and 3rd in free throw percentage. They are 15th and 16th in number of possessions.
  3. Rebounding – Where these two teams deviate heavily is on the boards. By all stats, Atlanta is one of the top rebounding teams in the league and OKC is one of the league’s worst. It has actually cost the Thunder some games this season and should be a point of emphasis for the team moving forward.

Offensive Massacre Unleashed in Oklahoma City Against the Atlanta Hawks

Photo by Zach Beeker | OKC Thunder

Oklahoma City did everything on the offensive end. Three players ended with 20+ points (Schroder, Gallinari, and SGA), and eight players scored double digits. But everyone can look up the stats, so rather than regurgitating those I figured I would do something a little more fun.

Below are a list of my random thoughts accumulated throughout the game. It’s not comprehensive this time, but I believe they detail an accurate recap of this game. Enjoy.

  • Petition to give this team the “Lob City 2.0” — Does Mayor Holt approve these things? The Governor? Whoever does that please make it happen
  • At what point do we start referring to “the bench” as “alternate starting lineup”? They are that good.
  • Chris Paul leads the league in 1st quarter buzzer beaters. I don’t have the data to back this up it’s just something I feel in my heart.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is making his layups increasingly difficult and I believe it is on purpose. Someone investigate this. 
  • Noel just dunks a lot now. That’s what is going to happen. Don’t try to fight it.
  • Remember the Spider-Man with Toby Maguire when he sees everything in slow motion once he got his powers? That’s SGA when he drives. It’s the only explanation.
  • Vince Carter played and scored a basket. That’s cool. It’s probably gonna be the last time we see him in OKC. That’s not cool
  • OKC scored 104 points before the 4th quarter started. That’s cool. They ended with 140 points. That’s very cool.

OKC leaves tonight with a whooping 58% FG and 56% 3PT performance before heading to Minnesota. Until next time, THUNDER UP!!!

Thunder At A Glance – 08 October 2018

img_4063Check out the 2nd episode of The Weekly through the Topic: Thunder Podcast. We talked about the first two preseason games, injury updates, and previewed the Northwest Division. You can subscribe for the podcast wherever you listen to your podcasts.

Nick Gallo (OKCThunder.com) on the energy shown by the Thunder in their win against the Atlanta Hawks: “Rookie Hamidou Diallo again was impressive, utilizing his athleticism, tenacity and intelligence to make plays, garnering more minutes after starter Terrance Ferguson went down with concussion-like symptoms. Sure, as a 20-year old, Diallo will have moments like when he hesitated on a cut to the rim. But he made up for it by receiving the pass from a posted-up George and turning the corner quickly to attack the rim to draw a foul. Diallo was aggressive on the glass in keeping loose balls alive and finished both at the rim and at the charity stripe as he chipped in 13 points and 5 rebounds.” Continue reading

NTTB Thunder Rumblings – 26 July 2018

img_4063Zac Oakes (A Sea of Blue) on Hamidou Diallo signing with the Thunder: “He came close to never playing a game for Kentucky, as he put his name into the draft in 2017, though he withdrew and returned to Kentucky. He would go on to finish fourth in scoring for Kentucky this past season, averaging an even 10 points per game.”

Erik Horne (NewsOK) on what the signing of Diallo could mean to the rest of the roster: “In order to free up a roster spot and alleviate luxury tax burdens this season, the Thunder could stretch Singler’s contract over three seasons at an average of $1.6 million per season. But, like the Carmelo Anthony trade which was finalized on Wednesday, the Thunder would prefer to get return via a trade rather than waiving Singler.” Continue reading

NTTB Thunder Rumblings – 23 July 2018

img_4063Make sure you check out the latest episode of the NTTB Podcast.

Lawrence George (Thunderous Intentions) looks at three things Dennis Schröder brings to the Thunder: “However, the OKC Thunder have taken risks on restoring players reputations (insert Dion Waiters and Enes Kanter) before, thus Schroder certainly fits the mold. He’s had his fair share of off-court problems in Atlanta (clashing with coaching, fellow players and a pending court case) but Schroder holds tremendous value for the Thunder.”

Erik Horne (NewsOK) says Dennis Schröder is the Thunder latest reclamation project: “The Thunder, however, has done its due diligence on Schroder, just like it did with prior players that teams gave up. Those players didn’t come with legal trouble, but trouble all their own.” Continue reading